ANOTHER BUDGET WITH LARGE ALLOCATION EXPECTED TO HELP MALAYSIA FACE
THE CHALLENGE OF COVID-19 IN 2022
While Malaysia
is in the final stages of its 6R strategy (assertiveness, resilience,
regeneration, recovery, empowerment and restructuring) to emerge from the
COVID-19 pandemic and move into the endemic phase, all eyes will be on Budget
2022 and the benefits it offers. The government is expected to continue to
focus on measures to protect lives and restore well-being, rebuild businesses
and catalyse post-pandemic reforms.
As the first budget under the government of Prime Minister Datuk
Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob and the first since the launch of the 12th Malaysia
Plan (12MP), Budget 2022 is expected to continue to feature expansion and be a
catalyst for the implementation of the 12MP that will drive economic growth,
inclusion and sustainability in medium term, based on the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) and the Vision for Shared Prosperity 2030 (WKB 2030).
According to
the first Pre-Budget Statement issued by the Ministry of Finance (MoF) in
August, the government will ensure the budget is comprehensive and inclusive,
in line with the spirit of "Keluarga Malaysia", with no individuals
or businesses left behind in receiving government assistance and support,
especially those. which was severely affected by the prolonged Movement Control
Order (PKP) in 2021.
The 2022
Budget, tabled in Parliament on Oct 29, 2021, will also ensure the continuity
of the National Recovery Plan (VAT) in driving economic recovery, according to
the MoF. To help the country recover from the health and economic crisis,
analysts expect another budget with a large allocation this time, compared to
RM322.5 billion announced in the previous budget (which was later revised to RM314.8
billion).
The healthcare
sector is seen as the biggest beneficiary despite the Federal government debt
rising to 61.2 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with a statutory debt
level of 56.8 per cent as of June 2021. The 2021 Budget was the largest in
Malaysian history when it was announced last year.According to UOB Bank Economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting,
total government spending is projected to increase 2.9 per cent to RM338
billion in 2022, making it larger than the previous budget. The government is also expected to continue
to assist the sectors worst affected by the pandemic such as tourism, retail
and micro, small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
“This will be partially offset by an estimated revenue collection
of RM230 billion, resulting in a fiscal shortfall of RM107.3 billion in 2022.
The budget gap is equivalent to 6.5 per cent of GDP next year, smaller than the
estimated seven per cent of GDP this year information in the note Continuous
measures to upgrade the skills and retrain of workers can also be seen in
addition to protecting and creating new employment opportunities for the
people.
"Perhaps this budget announcement will provide more clarity on
how the government plans to reduce the budget gap, based on the 12MP has shown
a fiscal shortfall of 3.0 to 3.5 per cent of GDP by 2025, compared to the 2022
estimate of 6.5 to 7.0 per cent," said the Bank's chief economist. Islam,
Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid.
In terms of tax
revenue, despite requests for the government to study to implement the
extraordinary gains tax and capital gains tax or reintroduce the Goods and
Services Tax (GST), experts expect no new taxes to be implemented in Budget
2022 due to the uncertain environment due to COVID- 19 at the domestic and
global levels which could affect the stability of Malaysia's economic growth.
However, in its
Pre-Budget Statement, the MoF stated the government is considering measures to
increase tax revenue through increased tax compliance. Proposals in the study include the implementation of a Special
Voluntary Disclosure Program (SVDP) for indirect taxes administered by the
Royal Malaysian Customs Department (JKDM). It also proposed the introduction of
a tax compliance certificate as a pre-requisite for tenderers participating in
government procurement.
"Third, the implementation of tax identification numbers
(TINs) and review of tax implementations identified as having elements of
revenue leakage or harmful practices. A comprehensive review of the tax
incentive framework was also conducted to ensure tax incentives offered to
foreign and local investors remain relevant. with the current business
landscape in addition to continuing to maintain the country's competitiveness
in attracting quality investment.
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